I followed-up a fast 3-0 start in Week 1 with a 1-2 record in last week’s top NFL picks, but that is the way it goes some times in this game. In an effort to get back to my winning ways I have broken down all the matchups on this Sunday’s NFL slate to come up with this week’s “Top Three Picks” for the games using BetOnline’s NFL betting odds.
Sunday, Sept. 27
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)
The Bengals are off to a hot 2-0 start both straight-up and against the spread, while Baltimore has failed to cover in losses to both Denver and Oakland on the road. This might paint the picture for a Cincinnati upset on Sunday, but I am not ready to count the Ravens out of the AFC North title picture just yet.
These teams have a long history against one another and the recent betting trends favor Baltimore’s chances to get back on track this week in an almost must-win situation. At home against Cincinnati, the Ravens have won four of the last five meetings SU and I like their chances to cover the 2.5 points this time around.
Pittsburgh Steelers at St. Louis Rams (OVER 47.5)
The one thing that Pittsburgh has been able to do in its 1-1 start is score points. While the Steelers came up short against New England in a 28-21 Week 1 loss, they ran all over San Francisco last week while scoring 43 points. The addition of running back Le’Veon Bell to the lineup this Sunday should only help the cause.
The fact that St. Louis gave-up 31 points in a win over Seattle and 24 points in last week’s loss to Washington should only help the cause. The total has gone OVER in six of the Rams’ last eight games and I really like my chances that it is going over again this Sunday in the Edwards Jones Dome.
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (-2.5)
Both of these AFC East rivals come into this division showdown with a 1-1 record both SU and ATS in their first two games. The Bills’ defense looked vulnerable last Sunday in a 40-32 loss to New England, while Miami’s offense has sputtered a bit this year with 17 points against the Redskins in a win and 20 points this past Sunday in a surprising loss to Jacksonville.
This is another head-to-head division matchup where I really like the home team’s chance to come out on top both SU and ATS given the tight 2.5-point spread. The Dolphins hold a 5-2 edge both SU and ATS over Buffalo at home in the last seven meetings so look for that trend to prevail this Sunday as well.
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