I ended-up on the wrong end in two of my top three picks for the second week in a row, but I am still above .500 on the year at 5-4. Looking to get back to my winning ways, I have broken down all the matchups on this Sunday’s NFL slate to come up with three of my top plays for Week 4 of the season using NFL betting odds from BetOnline.
Sunday, Oct. 4
New York Giants at Buffalo Bills (OVER 46.5)
The Giants are off to a 1-2 start, but the one constant in all three games as been the ability to move the ball downfield and put points on the board. It has been New York’s inability to hold onto fourth quarter leads that has hurt the cause.
Buffalo has had no issue scoring with the third-highest points per game average in the NFL (33.3), but it has suffered some breakdowns on defense as well in its 2-1 start.
The total has gone OVER in two of the first three games for both of these teams and I really like the chance that it goes OVER again in this matchup.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at Washington Redskins
Philadelphia bounced-back from two ugly losses to start the season with a 24-17 win last Sunday against the New York Jets as a three-point road underdog. Led by a new-found running game and special teams, Chip Kelly’s new-look Eagles appear to be poised to take another step forward this week.
After two strong efforts running the ball and playing defense, the Redskins took a big step backwards last week in a 32-21 loss to the New York Giants as three-point road underdogs. The expectation bar for Washington was set pretty low this season and last week’s effort is reason why.
The Eagles have the clear betting edge in this matchup against their NFC East rivals with a straight-up 6-3 record in the last nine meetings and a 4-2 record against the spread. Lay the three points and take Philly to cover.
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-6.5)
It has been hit or miss for the Rams in their 1-2 start, but the one thing that is being very apparent in the early part of this season is an offense that is having some serious issues moving the ball downfield. Through its first three games, St. Louis is ranked last in the NFL in total yards and 28th in scoring.
Arizona could be the most balanced team in the NFL right now with an offense that is ranked first in the NFL in average points scored (42) and third in points allowed (16.3). This has led to a perfect 3-0 start both SU and ATS in which the Cardinals have outscored their opponents by a combined 77 points.
Head-to-head in this NFC West clash, Arizona is 6-2 both SU and ATS in the last eight meetings and given its current form look for this trend to hold true this time around as well.
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