I got back to my winning ways last week with the correct call in two of my top three picks for Football.Us. That leaves me leaves me one game below .500 on the year at 4-5. With the help of 5Dimes’ posted college football betting odds, I have zeroed-in on my top three picks for Week 4 that should get put me back in the black this Saturday.
BYU (+4.5) at Michigan
In the first of two upset picks this week, I am riding the Cougars all the way in this one following an impressive stand against UCLA in this past Saturday’s 24-23 loss as 16.5-point road underdogs. BYU is built to play anyone tough, which is something it has already proven in straight-up upsets against both Nebraska and Boise State. I have been impressed with the play of freshman quarterback Tanner Mangum in relief of the injured Taysom Hill.
Michigan is back on track with two solid wins against Oregon State and UNLV following its 24-17 opening day to Utah as a five-point road underdog. While the offense did roll-up 63 points in the two wins with the defense giving-up a combined 14 points, I think the Wolverines are going to have their hands full against the highly motivated Cougars, who are looking to move back up in the national rankings.
Maryland at West Virginia (-17)
The Terrapins are 2-1 both SU and ATS in three games they were favored to win, but they are stepping up in class as road underdogs for Saturday’s matchup. They are averaging 37 points a game, but their defense has also allowed an average of 28.7 points. They fact that this unit gave-up 48 points in a loss to Bowling Green is a major concern.
West Virginia has yet to be tested in lopsided victories against Georgia Southern and Liberty by a combined score of 85-17. While things will not be nearly as easy this Saturday, it is hard seeing Maryland slowing down the Mountaineers’ high-powered offense enough to keep things closer than 17 points.
Tennessee (+2) at Florida
The Volunteers started this season with high expectations and through their first three games they are 2-1 both SU and ATS. The main thing I like about Tennessee has been its ability to move the ball on the ground with an average of 246 rushing yards a game. The one-two combination of Jalen Hurd and Alvin Kamara has already rushed for close to 500 yards.
Florida is also off to a solid start at 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS), but it did struggle on offense this past Saturday in a tight 14-9 victory over Kentucky as a 3.5-point road favorite. The Gators have dominated this series over the past decade or so, but last year’s close call on the road against Tennessee in a one-point win should help pave the way for a SU win by the Volunteers this time around.
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